hero:Scenario: The Year of Context Protocols (2026.3)

Scenario: The Year of Context Protocols (2026.3)

This is the third article in my annual tech predictions series, a tradition I began as Tech Director at Elisa. These essays examine the key drivers of change. For new readers, you can find links to the first and second scenarios in the footnotes1.

When I first encountered MCP2, I couldn’t help but think of GraphQL—a beautifully crafted protocol, technically brilliant, yet often more elaborate than most teams needed. GraphQL tackled real challenges for companies operating at scale, but for many, it solved problems they never really had3. I assumed MCP would follow a similar path: useful for a handful of complex scenarios but likely to be ignored by the broader industry.

Then I started paying attention to what was actually happening.

Tool after tool adopted MCP. Mainstream development environments, productivity apps, and enterprise platforms followed. The trend was clear: context protocols were becoming central, not niche. I originally even named this piece ‘The Year of MCP.’

That framing would have been a second miscalculation.

The POSIX Parallel

Calling 2026 ‘The Year of MCP’ is like those endless ‘Year of Linux’ predictions—much anticipated, but never quite as expected.

Linux quietly took over: most phones now run Android, and much of the web uses Linux. Even the MacBook I write this article with runs Unix, from the same family4 of operating systems.

Ultimately, the POSIX standard – of which Linux is the unofficial poster child5 – didn’t win with flash; it became the silent standard everyone adopted without notice.

Context protocols are now following this quiet, foundational path to ubiquity.

There will be no dramatic ‘Year of MCP’—just as there was no singular ‘Year of Linux.’ Instead, by the end of 2026, context protocols are likely to be quietly embedded as essential infrastructure, empowering operational change that will be clear only in hindsight. This is the real revolution: context protocols forming the backbone of intelligent, agentic systems.

The Problem a Context Protocol Solves?

LLMs—the brains behind AI agents—can only handle a limited amount of information at once. Trying to give them everything is slow, expensive, and rarely works. We tried tech like RAG, which helps with simple lookups6 and massive amounts of data, but can’t handle complex, intricate, connected tasks.

Context Protocols help agents access the right information at the right time, making AI work more efficiently. They standardize how agents request and get context, reducing confusion and enabling useful actions across platforms.

An agent without context is just a hallucination7 waiting to happen.

Besides MCP, which standardizes communication and sharing, protocols like Skills8 or “OCP9” are emerging10 to help agents access structured knowledge and web services more smoothly. These new protocols make agent interactions simpler and more efficient.

What to Look For

Scratch that, this isn’t speculative. Context protocols are already defining the next technology era. If you’re not preparing now, you’re already behind.

I’m not hedging here. This blog is re-published through MCP. The AI acting as my editor-in-chief (a very strict, adversarial peer reviewer) can independently search it, fetch articles, and understand my writing style. Not because I prompted it in, but because it reads the source directly. This isn’t a prediction; it’s an observation.

Or consider my other side hustle, [Pelilauta.social]: I published our design system docs as an MCP server. The simple two file update to the demo site wiped away the need to constantly correct the agents that were previously inventing styles, and hallucinating about secretly installing Tailwind.

I’m not making a prediction about whether the context protocols will be a thing. But of how big of a thing they will be.

The Playbook

Whether you’re a CTO or a designer, and whether you use LLMs occasionally or are fully immersed in agentic tooling11, I dont think there is room for waiting the dust to settle.

What I’d suggest, is to try one of these today:

Create a skill. Write down how you work—your business plan, your design principles, your domain knowledge—and package it as a skill file. Add it to Claude. Watch your AI assistant stop giving generic advice and start giving your advice.

Find an MCP server to connect to. Whether it’s your project management tool, your CRM, or your code repository—find an MCP server that wraps it, and connect your agents. Suddenly, they’re not guessing at your data; they’re reading it directly from the source.

Build an MCP for your design system. Your component library, your tokens, your patterns—wrap them in an MCP server and connect it to your IDE agents. Suddenly, Claude Code, Cursor, or Copilot isn’t guessing at your conventions; it’s reading them directly from the source.


The year of context protocols won’t announce itself with fanfare. By December, they’ll just be infrastructure—the foundation on which everything else runs.

The question isn’t whether this happens. It’s whether you’re building on that foundation while it’s still forming, or scrambling to catch up six months from now when “agent-ready” is already table stakes.

Footnotes

  1. The first two scenarios: The Industrialization of Knowledge Work and The Rise of AIO and the Snake Oil Salesmen, available under the scenario tag.

  2. MCP, or Model Context Protocol, is an open standard developed by Anthropic for connecting AI assistants to external data sources and tools. The specification is available at modelcontextprotocol.io.

  3. GraphQL was invented by Facebook in 2012 and open-sourced in 2015. It addressed real challenges at Facebook, and can adress similar issues at other large-scale companies. However, for most teams it was simply a technical patch over organizational issues that could have been solved with simpler tools like Team Topologies - or even talking to each other.

  4. Yes, macOS is technically certified Unix, not “Unix-like.” Darwin’s Mach/BSD heritage makes it a proper POSIX-compliant system. The point stands—POSIX-family systems won through ubiquity, not proclamation.

  5. While Linux is not officially POSIX-certified, it adheres closely to the POSIX standards, to a point where it’s fair to consider it part of the POSIX family. This widespread adoption and compatibility have made Linux the de facto standard for POSIX-compliant systems.

  6. Back in the uni, my math professor would likely used word like “trivial” instead of simple. Both are misleading, as simple or trivial here – never mind the maths – often means, “easy to state, but tedious to implement correctly.”

  7. Or a Potemkin, or another failure mode—which is actually more likely. I took some liberties here, since hallucinations are the best-known issue, even though some others are just as important.

  8. Skills are Anthropic’s term for packaged [static] instructions and resources that agents load dynamically. Think of them as structured documentation that the agent actually reads and follows. The spec is published as an open standard at agentskills.io, and Anthropic maintains a public repository of examples at github.com/anthropics/skills. Simon Willison called them “maybe a bigger deal than MCP”—Assuming they become widely adopted. I’m inclined to agree, though I’m framimg them as complementary rather than competitive.

  9. Open Context Protocol is an example of promising, but still emerging tooling. While it is incumbent, I love their approach. The OCP launched in January 2026 as “what MCP should have looked like for web APIs.” Where MCP requires applications to embed a server, OCP works with existing OpenAPI specs—same spec in, same tools out. See the launch post at opencontextprotocol.io.

  10. The space is moving fast. By the time you read this, there may already be new protocols I haven’t accounted for. That’s the nature of infrastructure races—they look chaotic until suddenly they don’t.

  11. Right now, Claude.ai and Claude Code are the best tools to test this out - they have first-class MCP and Skills support. Even if you are not using these for work, I suggest creating a free account to experiment with these capabilities. Other tools are catching up fast, and it’s better to be ready, when they do.